While I dig the logic behind the parrot predictor, I don't think it works for people who tend to run most of their miles on difficult/hilly trails (and hence have a much slower average pace). I use the runner's world race predictor and usually am close to that. I'm actually in 3:10 shape (based on recent races) and will have no problem running that in Austin.
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I'm still faster than that, which tells me that predictor is totally wrong. Sadly, you are faster than me. Have you ever used the McMillan predictor?
While I dig the logic behind the parrot predictor, I don't think it works for people who tend to run most of their miles on difficult/hilly trails (and hence have a much slower average pace). I use the runner's world race predictor and usually am close to that. I'm actually in 3:10 shape (based on recent races) and will have no problem running that in Austin.
That sounds a lot more like your speed, whew. I was a little worried there.
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